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McCain Would Have Won Virginia With Today's Turnout

11/3/2009, by Proloy Bhatta

HIGHLIGHTS

  • McDonnell won among both men and women and among all age groups.
  • Blacks made up 16% of those that voted, they made up 20% in the 2008 election.
  • Among those that voted today: McCain 50%, Obama 44%.

Barack Obama won Virginia in 2008 by 6% but the Republican candidate in today's Governor election has won by a whopping twenty-something percent.

To preface the results of the exit polls, a 56% majority of voters stated that Barack Obama was not a factor in their choice.

Was one reason for your vote for governor today: McDonnell Deeds
To express support for Barack Obama (18%) 6% 93%
To express opposition to Barack Obama (24%) 97% 3%
Barack Obama was not a factor (56%) 55% 44%

If only those that voted today were the ones that voted in 2008, McCain would have won -- 50 to 44. 12% of Obama voters, switched over to McDonnell.

In the 2008 election for president, did you vote for: McDonnell Deeds
Barack Obama (Dem) (44%) 12% 88%
John McCain (Rep) (50%) 95% 5%
Someone else (2%) - -
Did not vote (2%) - -

Approval of Obama's job as president was split but 20% of those that approved of his job performance voted for McDonnell.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? McDonnell Deeds
Approve (49%) 20% 80%
Disapprove (50%) 94% 5%

On the issues, the Republican candidate won on the economy and on taxes. 47% of voters stated that the economy/jobs was the most important issue that mattered most when making their decision. The Democrat, Deeds won on health care and transportation.

Which ONE issue mattered most in deciding how you voted for governor today? (CHECK ONLY ONE) McDonnell Deeds
Health care (25%) 48% 52%
Economy/Jobs (47%) 57% 43%
Transportation (7%) 35% 65%
Taxes (15%) 84% 16%

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