Menu
Latest Articles
Tea Party Senate Races
2/1/2010, by Proloy Bhatta
| Pollster | Date | Democrat | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVERAGE | 39% | 41% | |
| NBC News | 1/23-25/10 | 44 | 42 |
| Research 2000 | 1/25-28/10 | 37 | 39 |
| National Public Radio | 1/20-23/10 | 39 | 44 |
| USA Today Gallup | 1/20/10 | 40 | 36 |
| McLaughlin Associates | 1/19-20/10 | 37 | 42 |
Republicans are up two points in the generic 2010 congressional vote. According to McLaughlin & Associates, they hold a five point lead.
But when there is a strong tea party candidate, Republicans lose sixteen points of support while the Democrats only lose six points.
| McLaughlin Associates, 1/19-20/10 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Republican | Tea Party |
| 37 | 42 | - |
| 31 | 26 | 8 |
In a three party race, the lowest percentage you can get but still win is 33.4%. If any party in a three-way race is able to get to 33.4% then it guarantees that there will be a victor. And neither of the two major parties were able to achieve that in the McLaughlin & Associates poll.
So seeing this makes me wonder if a strong tea party candidate could be successful as a presidential candidate in 2012. At this point, the Tea Party wants to curb government spending and reduce the federal budget deficit but do not have a strong vocal figurehead at the top steering them in any direction.
They have time.
SEARCH BY STATE
Copyright 2011 PollingNumbers.com, All Rights Reserved.